At this critical moment in October 2024, Vice President Harris unexpectedly became the focus of public opinion, sparking widespread attention and discussion.
Questions arose: why does her election outlook seem to fall short of expectations?
The catalyst for this was her performance during a recent interview with the right-leaning media outlet FOX, where some viewers felt her responses lacked strength. Additionally, rumors about Biden's dissatisfaction with her led to questions about her leadership capabilities.
But are these doubts founded?
According to various data points, the reality is far from the dire picture painted by outside speculation.
The competition between Harris and Trump remains fierce, and her support rates are not poor.
The controversy began with the FOX interview. Many felt Harris appeared somewhat awkward when faced with pointed questions and failed to demonstrate enough confidence.
This performance quickly sparked discussions on social media, with netizens questioning whether she is a suitable candidate.
However, it is unfair to judge someone's capabilities based on a single interview misstep.
Every candidate can have a poor performance under immense pressure; this is just a minor episode in the campaign and does not represent the whole picture.
The rumors of a supposed "rift" between Biden and Harris lack substantial evidence.
According to a Washington Post survey conducted in early October, Harris's support in key states was nearly equal to Trump's, with figures of 49% and 48%, respectively.
These data indicate that she still possesses considerable strength in the race; at least in these important states, her support rates are comparable to Trump's.
According to the latest poll from FiveThirtyEight, as of October 21, Harris leads Trump by 1.8 percentage points nationwide.
This data clearly shows that Harris's campaign has not collapsed; rather, she maintains an advantage in the competition with Trump.
In other words, those questioning her election outlook may be jumping to conclusions too soon.
Additionally, former Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney's statement also dispelled these rumors.
As a hardliner within the Republican Party, Cheney has always been a staunch defender of the Constitution. Against this backdrop, her decision to support Harris reflects her recognition of Harris's performance in upholding the Constitution and democracy.
Moreover, her support is not empty; it is based on trust and respect for Harris.
So, why do some begin to question Harris?
In fact, this reflects a common phenomenon in American politics: women in leadership positions often face stricter scrutiny and challenges.
As a female candidate, Harris naturally encounters more public criticism and heightened interpretations.
A small misstep may be viewed as evidence of "incompetence," whereas male candidates in similar situations often receive more leniency.
Historically, female leaders in politics, business, and other fields have often faced this unfair treatment.
Expectations for them are both high and harsh; even a minor error can lead to perceptions of "unqualification."
However, Harris has showcased excellence throughout her campaign, and the current storm will not become a stumbling block for her.
Meanwhile, Trump's return has caused concern among many voters.
Many do not view him as the best candidate to serve as president again.
In the past four years, whether due to domestic policy divisions or isolationist strategies on the international stage, America's influence has diminished.
Today, calls for his return are more based on nostalgia and emotion than on actual policy outcomes.
In contrast, despite facing some criticism, Harris has consistently defended the Constitution and promoted reforms, with policy positions that are more forward-looking and aligned with current societal needs.
Though her campaign journey has not been smooth, it is far from the dire situation imagined by outsiders.
The upcoming campaign will be a crucial moment in determining the outcome, and whether Harris can maintain her lead depends on how she handles the challenges ahead.
It is certain that Trump's return has not completely undermined her, and Harris has not fallen into despair due to one interview misstep.
Although doubts persist, Harris's election outlook is not as bleak as speculated.
From the data and her actual performance, she remains a significant contender in this presidential race.
Whether she can ultimately succeed on the campaign trail still requires time to test.
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